7 Jul · 10:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1575
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lievshin
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1555
FormWLLLL
52%
48%
🌟Derevianko covers set handicap as underdog 66% (47)
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H7-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.