7 Jul · 10:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1668
FormLWLWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Shcherbak
DZ
🇺🇦Dmytro Zeniuk
ELO 1540
FormWLLLW
63%
37%
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+128
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)