7 Jul · 09:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1543
FormWWLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Shcherbak
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1668
FormLWLWW
37%
63%
🌟Kozachuk stays under total as underdog 70% (30)
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+125
H2H31-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-27)