7 Jul · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇺🇦Jachym Juppa
ELO 1508
FormWWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Brichacek
DB
🇺🇦David Brichacek
ELO 1574
FormLLLWL
43%
57%
🌟Brichacek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (24)
Fair odds · Brichacek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H9-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-1)