7 Jul · 11:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1441
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kurylenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1485
FormLLLLL
45%
55%
🌟Kurylenko stays under total as favourite 64% (25)
Fair odds · Kurylenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H46-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (46-27)