7 Jul · 10:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Neborak
ELO 1493
FormWWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kozachuk
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1543
FormWWLWL
45%
55%
🌟Kozachuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (25)
Fair odds · Kozachuk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H9-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-1)