7 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1505
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Maliuk
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1485
FormLLLLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kurylenko🌟Maliuk goes over total as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H21-31
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.