7 Jul · 09:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YS
🇺🇦Yuriy Shcherbak
ELO 1431
FormWLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Shcherbak
RS
🇺🇦Ruslan Skoropad
ELO 1426
FormLWWLL
50%
50%
🌟Shcherbak stays under total as favourite 71% (17)
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H6-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.