7 Jul · 07:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1505
FormLWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Syksa
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1592
FormLLLWL
41%
59%
🌟Maliuk covers set handicap as underdog 71% (17)
Fair odds · Syksa
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H32-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-14)