7 Jul · 07:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1610
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Heinzl
MS
🇺🇦Michal Stibor
ELO 1594
FormLWLWL
52%
48%
🌟Heinzl rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (41)
Fair odds · Heinzl
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H10-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.