7 Jul · 06:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1643
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Shcherbak
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1668
FormLWLWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H31-37
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.