7 Jul · 12:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VI
🇺🇦Viktor Ivanytskyi
ELO 1431
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Ivanytskyi
IF
🇺🇦Illia Fokin
ELO 1405
FormWLWLW
53%
47%
🌟Ivanytskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (15)
Fair odds · Ivanytskyi
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H5-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.