7 Jul · 09:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇺🇦Michal Stibor
ELO 1594
FormLWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Stibor
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Burylov
ELO 1557
FormWWLWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Stibor
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.