7 Jul · 06:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1441
FormLLLLL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Kasyanov
AK
🇺🇦Artem Kasyanov
ELO 1710
FormLWLWL
24%
76%
Fair odds · Kasyanov
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~76 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
17%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+269
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+269)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)