7 Jul · 07:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1543
FormWWLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Rak
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1643
FormWLLLL
40%
60%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kozachuk🌟Rak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (29)
Fair odds · Rak
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H65-54
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (65-54)