7 Jul · 06:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1543
FormWWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kozachuk
DZ
🇺🇦Dmytro Zeniuk
ELO 1540
FormWLLLW
50%
50%
🌟Kozachuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (25)
Fair odds · Kozachuk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H14-35
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.