7 Jul · 09:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1492
FormWLLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Heinzl
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1610
FormWWLLL
38%
62%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pisa🌟Pisa covers set handicap as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Heinzl
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+118
H2H33-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+118)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-17)