7 Jul · 11:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Strutinskiy
ELO 1531
FormWLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Riadynskyi
YR
🇺🇦Yehor Riadynskyi
ELO 1583
FormLLLLW
44%
56%
🌟Strutinskiy rarely covers set handicap as underdog 35% (20)
Fair odds · Riadynskyi
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H47-33
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-33)