7 Jul · 08:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1461
FormLLLLL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Kasyanov
AK
🇺🇦Artem Kasyanov
ELO 1710
FormLWLWL
26%
74%
Fair odds · Kasyanov
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~74 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
17%
3-2
10%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+249
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+249)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)