7 Jul · 07:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1492
FormWLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Burylov
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Burylov
ELO 1557
FormWWLWL
43%
57%
🌟Pisa covers set handicap as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Burylov
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)