7 Jul · 11:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AN
🇺🇦Anatolii Nikolenko
ELO 1400
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Skoropad
RS
🇺🇦Ruslan Skoropad
ELO 1426
FormLWWLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Skoropad
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.