7 Jul · 10:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kuzyshyn
ELO 1547
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kuzyshyn
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Strutinskiy
ELO 1531
FormWLWWW
52%
48%
🌟Strutinskiy rarely covers set handicap as underdog 35% (20)
Fair odds · Kuzyshyn
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H7-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.