7 Jul · 10:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1505
FormLWLLW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Kasyanov
AK
🇺🇦Artem Kasyanov
ELO 1710
FormLWLWL
29%
71%
🌟Maliuk covers set handicap as underdog 71% (17)
Fair odds · Kasyanov
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 83% · 1.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~75 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
25%
2-3
16%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+205
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+205)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)