7 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JJ
🇺🇦Jachym Juppa
ELO 1508
FormWWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Skyba
MS
🇺🇦Martin Skyba
ELO 1550
FormLLLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Skyba
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.