7 Jul · 10:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
YU
🇺🇦Yurii Urezchenko
ELO 1304
FormLLLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Matviichuk
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1415
FormLWWLL
38%
62%
⚡ Cover lean · Matviichuk🌟Matviichuk covers set handicap as favourite 65% (17)
Fair odds · Matviichuk
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H32-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-23)