7 Jul · 06:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YS
🇺🇦Yuriy Shcherbak
ELO 1431
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Shcherbak
IF
🇺🇦Illia Fokin
ELO 1405
FormWLWLW
53%
47%
🌟Shcherbak stays under total as favourite 71% (17)
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H4-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.