7 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1573
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Yurkov
DY
🇺🇦Dmytro Yurkov
ELO 1606
FormLLWWL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kushnirenko🌟Kushnirenko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (61)
Fair odds · Yurkov
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H57-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.