7 Jul · 15:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OT
🇺🇦Oleksandr Tymofeev
ELO 1590
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Tymofeev
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1532
FormLLWLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Tymofeev
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H18-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-17)