7 Jul · 11:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kuzyshyn
ELO 1547
FormWWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Nitchenko
IN
🇺🇦Ivan Nitchenko
ELO 1578
FormWLLLL
47%
53%
🌟Kuzyshyn covers set handicap as underdog 69% (16)
Fair odds · Nitchenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H11-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.