7 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ivchuk
ELO 1689
FormWWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Ivchuk
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Seliuchenko
ELO 1685
FormWLWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Ivchuk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.