7 Jul · 15:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OV
🇺🇦Oleh Volynets
ELO 1544
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Volynets
BZ
🇺🇦Bohdan Zaika
ELO 1538
FormLLLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Volynets
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~71 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H34-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.