7 Jul · 14:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BZ
🇺🇦Bohdan Zaika
ELO 1538
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Karpenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Karpenko
ELO 1600
FormWWWLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Karpenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~70 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H9-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)