7 Jul · 15:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DM
🇺🇦Denys Maltsev
ELO 1598
FormWWWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Maltsev
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1505
FormLWWLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Maltsev
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+93
H2H4-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)