7 Jul · 15:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ivchuk
ELO 1689
FormWWLWL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Ivchuk
YS
🇺🇦Yurii Shmyndra
ELO 1463
FormLLLWL
72%
28%
🌟Shmyndra stays under total as underdog 68% (25)
Fair odds · Ivchuk
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~73 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
25%
3-2
17%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+226
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+226)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)