7 Jul · 13:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1532
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zaika
BZ
🇺🇦Bohdan Zaika
ELO 1538
FormLLLLW
49%
51%
🌟Zaika rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (12)
Fair odds · Zaika
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~72 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H26-37
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.