7 Jul · 15:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii S Marushchak
ELO 1560
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Marushchak
AH
🇺🇦Andrii Hrabskyi
ELO 1553
FormLLWWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Marushchak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H16-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.