7 Jul · 12:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇺🇦Martin Melisek
ELO 1579
FormLLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Melisek
MD
🇺🇦Marek Drbohlav
ELO 1495
FormLLWLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Melisek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)