7 Jul · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LK
🇺🇦Leon Kolman
ELO 1527
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Brichacek
DB
🇺🇦David Brichacek
ELO 1574
FormLLLWL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kolman🌟Kolman covers set handicap as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Brichacek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)