7 Jul · 14:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DM
🇺🇦Denys Maltsev
ELO 1598
FormWWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Rodin
OR
🇺🇦Oleksii Rodin
ELO 1650
FormWLLLW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Maltsev🌟Maltsev stays under total as underdog 70% (23)
Fair odds · Rodin
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H5-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)