7 Jul · 08:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kuzyshyn
ELO 1547
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Riadynskyi
YR
🇺🇦Yehor Riadynskyi
ELO 1583
FormLLLLW
46%
54%
🌟Kuzyshyn covers set handicap as underdog 69% (16)
Fair odds · Riadynskyi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
17%
Elo Gap+36
H2H13-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.