7 Jul · 14:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OV
🇺🇦Oleh Volynets
ELO 1544
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Troyan
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1581
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H48-43
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.