7 Jul · 08:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Strutinskiy
ELO 1531
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Derevianko
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1555
FormWLLLL
48%
52%
🌟Strutinskiy rarely covers set handicap as underdog 35% (20)
Fair odds · Derevianko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H38-46
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.