7 Jul · 16:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Vitalii Sydorenko
ELO 1440
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Bielokon
YB
🇺🇦Yevhen Bielokon
ELO 1514
FormLLLLL
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sydorenko🌟Bielokon rarely covers set handicap as favourite 13% (15)
Fair odds · Bielokon
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H37-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-27)