7 Jul · 16:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇺🇦Oleksii Korobov
ELO 1572
FormLWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Korobov
IE
🇺🇦Ivan Elfemov
ELO 1508
FormLLWWL
57%
43%
🌟Elfemov covers set handicap as underdog 64% (22)
Fair odds · Korobov
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)