7 Jul · 18:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VC
🇺🇦Vaclav Coubal
ELO 1399
FormLWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Jnr
JJ
🇺🇦Jakub Dufek Jnr
ELO 1482
FormLWWLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H17-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-11)