7 Jul · 15:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LS
🇺🇦Lukas Svoboda
ELO 1564
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Svoboda
SR
🇺🇦Stepan Rejent
ELO 1509
FormLWLLW
56%
44%
🌟Rejent covers set handicap as underdog 74% (19)
Fair odds · Svoboda
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H6-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)