7 Jul · 18:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Vitalii Sydorenko
ELO 1440
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Elfemov
IE
🇺🇦Ivan Elfemov
ELO 1508
FormLLWWL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sydorenko🌟Elfemov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 13% (15)
Fair odds · Elfemov
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~71 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H3-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)