7 Jul · 17:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Ondrej Mezera
ELO 1584
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mezera
LS
🇺🇦Lukas Svoboda
ELO 1564
FormWWWWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Mezera
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.