7 Jul · 19:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JJ
🇺🇦Jachym Juppa
ELO 1508
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Merkl
RM
🇺🇦Roman Merkl
ELO 1514
FormWWLLW
49%
51%
🌟Merkl rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (18)
Fair odds · Merkl
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H16-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.