7 Jul · 16:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AA
🇺🇦Artur Akopyan
ELO 1368
FormLWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Coubal
VC
🇺🇦Vaclav Coubal
ELO 1399
FormLWLWL
47%
53%
🌟Akopyan covers set handicap as underdog 62% (24)
Fair odds · Coubal
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H20-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.